Wednesday, August 7, 2013

Palladium Shortages spur bullish wagers

Palladium shortages spur bullish wagers

August 6 2013 at 11:17am

PalladiumMetal

Reuters.

Sheets of palladiums are pictured at a jewellery factory.

New York - At a time when gold and silver are tumbling the most in three decades, hedge funds are holding a near-record bullish bet on palladium as forecasters from Morgan Stanley to Credit Suisse Group AG predict years of shortages.

Demand will exceed output by 1.33 million ounces in 2013, more than North America produces in a year, Morgan Stanley says.

Credit Suisse anticipates deficits through at least 2016, and researcher CPM Group says mines won’t catch up for a decade.

Prices will average $800 an ounce in the first quarter, 9.9 percent more than now, and $850 in 2015, the median of as many as 12 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg show.

Speculators raised bets on higher prices eightfold in the past year and are holding a near-record amount in funds.

http://www.iol.co.za/business/markets/commodities/palladium-shortages-spur-bullish-wagers-1.1558239#.UgKK8zeyIs4

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