Bullion Shortage in India

Gold imports by India, the world’s biggest user last year, may plunge after the central bank linked inbound shipments to exports to cut a record current-account deficit and stem a decline in the currency.

Overseas purchases may tumble 63 percent to 175 metric tons in the six months through December from a year earlier, said Bachhraj Bamalwa, a director at the All India Gems & Jewellery Trade Federation. The Reserve Bank of India announced new rules late yesterday, making it mandatory for importers to set aside 20 percent for re-exports as jewelry.
The curbs may cause a shortage of bullion in the domestic market as the country’s average annual exports of gold jewelry are about 70 tons, Bamalwa said. Consumption in India, which imports almost all the bullion it uses, was 864.2 tons last year, according to data from the World Gold Council.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-07-23/gold-imports-by-india-may-slump-as-purchases-linked-to-exports.html


MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

Gold & Silver Shortages ~ Asian Dealers Fear Summer Shortage

Gold Jump Pulls Miners Higher as Asian Dealers Fear Summer Shortage

London Gold Market Report

From Adrian Ash

The WHOLESALE price of gold leapt in thin Asian trade Monday morning, jumping 1.7% inside half-a-minute and then extending its run in London to new 1-month highs at $1322 per ounce.

London-listed gold equities followed, with shares in Randgold Resources – tipped today by analysts at both J.P. Morgan and Morgan Stanley as better able to cut costs and avoid write-downs than competitors – rose 2.5%.

So too however did shares in African Barrick Gold – named by Morgan Stanley as a gold miner facing "heightened risks [with] limited scope to raise returns."

Russian gold miner Petropavlovsk, which by end-May had sold forward 70% of its 2013 output to hedge the falling gold price, meantime rose over 4.3% on the London stock market, taking its rally of the last two weeks above 40%.

Shares in the former million-ounce miner remained 75% below the start of 2013, however.

Randgold Resources was trading today 25% down for the year so far.

"Gold broke through a key technical level at $1300," said one Singapore trader to Reuters this morning.

The first breach of this "psychologically important" level since end-June, however, gold "is still a good $230 off the technically important 200-day moving average," says the daily note from Germany's Commerzbank.
http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1374499548.php


MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

Gold, Silver gain on fresh Demand

Gold surged to Rs 27,300 per ten grams, silver appreciated to Rs 40,730 per kg

Both the precious metals, gold and silver gained in the national capital on Friday on fresh buying by stockists amid a firm global trend.

While gold surged by Rs 275 to Rs 27,300 per ten grams, silver gained Rs 295 to Rs 40,730 per kg on increased offtake by jewellers and industrial units.

Sentiments bolstered after gold surged to a three-week high in global markets, as Federal Reserve Chairman’s comments that stimulus may be maintained spurred demand for the metal.

Gold in London, which normally sets the price trend on the domestic front, appreciated 0.3 per cent to USD 1,287.69 an ounce.

On the domestic front, gold of 99.9 and 99.5 per cent purity zoomed up by Rs 275 each to Rs 27,300 and Rs 27,100 per ten grams, respectively.

 http://www.thehindu.com/business/markets/gold-silver-gain-on-fresh-demand/article4931651.ece


MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

Gold and Silver Miners Rolling Over Again

 The bullish case for silver is easy enough to make. It also makes sense that if the price per ounce eventually takes off, then the miners would do well.
Nevertheless, the problems that silver miners face are multifaceted and will be discussed further in the following sections.

Inflation

The next trigger that catapults silver prices higher will likely be associated with a notable rise in inflation that may already be in process. The Producer Price Index (PPI) was up last month significantly for the first time in a while and crude oil is again testing the psychological $100 level.
Still, inflation is a double edged sword for the miners since rising energy costs will be a huge drag on net earnings for these companies. This is especially true for the penny stock miners who are still in the exploration stage and will require revisionary financing going forward.

Tough Times for Miners

The entire mining sector has been miserable and positive sentiment is getting pretty close to zero. This might indicate a bottom is near, but the damage to the sector has been done.
The industry also suffers from a shortage of experienced geologists, and financing for these mining projects is hard to come by as a rule.
Furthermore, most silver comes from byproduct mining because primary mines simply could not stay in business for the lean decades leading up to the most recent bull market in silver.

MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

Gold Backwardation Seen by SocGen Prompting ‘Corrective Rally’

Gold’s biggest backwardation since 1999 prompted a “corrective rally” and negative investor sentiment means the outlook is still bearish, according to Societe Generale SA.

Physical gold demand is strong and “nearby tightness” will persist for the “foreseeable future,” Robin Bhar, a London-based metals analyst, said in a report e-mailed today. Gold will average $1,150 an ounce in 2014, according to the bank, which predicted the rout in April when prices entered a bear market, having fallen 20 percent from the high last year.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-07-17/gold-backwardation-seen-by-socgen-prompting-corrective-rally-.html

MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

How to beat a GOLD SHORTAGE

Gold is sold out! Or so you might think if you miss the true nature of coin supply...

By Miguel Perez-Santalla


Over the last few years, during the great investment demand for gold and silver, we have seen sporadic shortages in bullion coins.
Many people have written about these shortages as a harbinger of things to come in precious metals more widely. One of the fads is to decry supply issues in silver and now recently gold. However, the truth of the matter is less dramatic, if not quite so simple.
In most cases, supply issues with silver or gold coins are caused by abnormal or let's say surprising increases in demand from bullion coin buyers. Simply put, coins don't come out of thin air. They need to be manufactured. This all takes time and money. No one wants to tie up their money in a product that is not going to sell. That exposes gold and silver buyers to "just in time" inventory gaps if it's coins they want to buy.

SILVER & GOLD SHORTAGE

Imagine you are selling a low-cost product with a high margin. It is much more likely that you will have enough inventories for almost all eventualities. Look at a typical retail product – how about lip balm? I don't really know the costs but I can guess. Some of the more premium brands sell individually for $10 each and more, but many quality brands sell for $1.00 or so.

http://www.resourceinvestor.com/2013/07/15/how-to-beat-a-gold-shortage?t=precious-metals

MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

Gold Coins Shortage: Does It Mean Tight Supply?

Friday, 7/12/2013 18:19

Yes, if it's gold coins you're after. But not if it's gold bullion in other forms...

 

OVER the last few years, during the great investment demand for precious metals, we have seen sporadic shortages in silver and gold coins, writes Miguel Perez-Santalla at BullionVault.

 

Many people have written about these shortages as a harbinger of things to come in precious metals more widely. One of the fads is to decry supply issues in silver and now recently gold.

However, the truth of the matter is less dramatic, if not quite so simple.

 

In most cases, supply issues with silver or gold coins are caused by abnormal or let's say surprising increases in demand from bullion coin buyers. Simply put, coins don't come out of thin air. They need to be manufactured. This all takes time and money. No one wants to tie up their money in a product that is not going to sell. That exposes gold and silver buyers to "just in time" inventory gaps if it's coins they want to buy.

 

Imagine you are selling a low-cost product with a high margin. It is much more likely that you will have enough inventories for almost all eventualities. Look at a typical retail product – how about lip balm? I don't really know the costs but I can guess. Some of the more premium brands sell individually for $10 each and more, but many quality brands sell for $1.00 or so.

 

I have never seen a retailer that sells this product run out. Though it is possible, most likely that chance is very remote because I believe their profit margin is probably around 100% or more. This typically is called the Keystone markup. My guess is that the retailer pays lower than $.50 for each one of these $1.00 lip balms. So their profit of 50 cents or more covers any carrying charges that may be represented from holding the inventory.

Read more : http://goldnews.bullionvault.com/gold-coins-shortage-071220132

MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

Silver & Gold : There is some dislocation in the Physical Market

Gold hit a one-week high on Tuesday, gaining 1 percent on strong physical demand, and as Chinese inflation data boosted the metal's appeal as a hedge.
The metal's second consecutive daily gain was sparked by data showing China's annual consumer inflation accelerated more than expected in June.
Signs of tightness in gold forward market also boosted investor sentiment.
News that the 1-month and 3-month Gold Forward Offered Rates (GOFO), rates at which bullion banks are prepared to lend gold on a swap against U.S. dollars, fell for the first time in years underpinned gold prices.
"Clearly there is some dislocation in the physical market and maybe because demand has been surprisingly strong that has caused some temporary shortages," said Societe Generale analyst Robin Bhar, adding that there has been a lot of gold borrowing in the last 24 hours.
(Read More: China Remains Entrenched in Producer Price Deflation

MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

PRECIOUS-Gold rises 1 pct on physical buying, China inflation

* Gold one and three-month forward rates suggest increased
borrowing
    * China June consumer inflation up more than expected
    * Gold-backed ETF outflow continues
    * Investors await U.S. June FOMC minutes Wednesday

 (New updates throughout, adds comment, adds second byline, NEW
YORK to dateline)
    By Frank Tang and Clara Denina 
    NEW YORK/LONDON, July 9 (Reuters) - Gold hit a one-week high
on Tuesday, gaining 1 percent on strong physical demand, and as
Chinese inflation data boosted the metal's appeal as a hedge.
    The metal's second consecutive daily gain was sparked by
data showing China's annual consumer inflation accelerated more
than expected in June. 
    Signs of tightness in gold forward market also boosted
investor sentiment.
    News that the 1-month and 3-month Gold Forward Offered Rates
(GOFO), rates at which bullion banks are prepared to lend gold
on a swap against U.S. dollars, fell for the first time in years
underpinned gold prices.
    "Clearly there is some dislocation in the physical market
and maybe because demand has been surprisingly strong that has
caused some temporary shortages," said Societe Generale analyst
Robin Bhar, adding that there has been a lot of gold borrowing
in the last 24 hours .
    Spot gold touched its highest since July 2 at
$1,260.01 an ounce earlier. It traded at $1,245.90 an ounce, up
0.9 percent by 3:34 PM EDT (1934 GMT)
    U.S. Comex gold futures for August delivery settled
up $11 to $1,245.90 an ounce, as trading volume was 15 percent
below its 30-day average, preliminary Reuters data showed.
    Liquidation in bullion-backed exchange traded funds
continued, suggesting gold prices could come under renewed
pressure, analysts said. 
    Holdings in the SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest
gold ETF, fell to the lowest since February 2009, down 1.6
percent to 946.96 tonnes. 
    Investors are now focusing on the Federal Open Market
Committee (FOMC) minutes - records from the Fed's June meeting -
due for release on Wednesday.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/07/09/markets-precious-idUSL4N0FF1K920130709

MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

Physical Demand And Silver-To-Gold Ratio Signal Strong Rally In Silver Prices

Silver prices have slumped to deeper lows in June 2013 after having been smashed big time earlier in April. Technical indicators suggest an extremely oversold condition and that a rise seems imminent. On a weekly basis, RSI (relative strength indicator) is at the lowest in 40 years of data and nearly that low on a daily basis. This timing indicator suggests that silver is extremely oversold on both a daily and weekly basis. Gold is similarly oversold. Technically, a rally in gold and silver prices is

Take a look at a recent statement by GATA: Market-rigging central banks laugh at technical analysis and 'fundamentals'

    GATA said: "Technical analysis of a manipulated market like gold has been tedious nonsense for years, but these days, with virtually infinite paper dropped on the gold futures market at illiquid times to drive the price down even as the physical market remains strong, technical analysis has become insulting. The only analysis worth anything anymore is the identification of the source of all the paper. The suspects are obvious - Western central banks."
absolutely unavoidable. Then why have bullion seen a steep and steady decline in prices? Having said about Gold and Silver being in technically oversold conditions, market manipulation yet, will of course play its own part in defining price direction, even though for a small volatile period now.



MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

SILVER : The New Law of Supply and Demand

Theodore Butler
|
July 5, 2013 - 9:10am
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This was excerpted from the Weekly Review of June 29, 2013 -
The cornerstone of the free market system is the law of supply and demand. This is the premise that governs how the prices of resources are determined in any free market economy as opposed to prices being set by government edict or monopoly control. It is the mechanism by which resources are produced and consumed in the freest and most efficient manner. Here’s a great definition of this law from the Free Dictionary – “the theory that prices are determined by the interaction of supply and demand: an increase in supply will lower prices if not accompanied by increased demand, and an increase in demand will raise prices unless accompanied by increased supply.”
http://www.thefreedictionary.com/law+of+supply+and+demand

There are three components to the law – supply, demand and price. Price serves as the fulcrum between supply and demand, balancing the two. But the important point is that the interplay between supply and demand is what determines the price. That’s elementary and spelled out in the above definition; a free market price means the price is determined by supply and demand. This is the definition we expect our children learn in school. Unfortunately, this definition is old-fashioned and no longer operative in gold and silver and other commodities. Instead a new definition of the law of supply and demand has supplanted the version still in the dictionary.
Simply put, the new law of supply and demand has the price determining supply and demand and not vice-versa as it should be. This may sound like a game of words at first blush, but it goes to the heart of the matter. When price determines how much is produced and consumed, instead of supply and demand being the determinant of price, that’s just another way of describing price manipulation. All our laws against manipulation and the restraint of free trade are aimed at preventing an artificial price from coming into existence. That’s because it is well-known that an artificial price will adversely impact production and consumption and cause overall harm to society. An artificial high price must lead to over-production and under-consumption and an eventual price crash, while an artificial low price must result in an eventual shortage and price explosion.
There is undeniable proof that the recent price action on the COMEX in gold and silver is the new and manipulative version of the law and supply and demand. There was no big increase in production or weakening of demand for gold or silver leading to sharply lower prices; instead the price decline, due to speculative selling of futures contracts, is determining what will be produced and consumed in the future. Speculative selling on the COMEX has resulted in prices low enough to threaten mine production and encourage increased demand (especially investment demand).



MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet