Silver Prices in the Event of a Comex Default

By Dr. Jeffrey Lewis January 4, 2013

 If and when the Comex silver market implodes, so should the paper market for silver. Nevertheless, can this happen and will it happen?



Also, if a Comex default does occur, what are the likely scenarios and aftermath that will impact silver traders and the price of silver? The following sections explore the increasingly likely possibility of a Comex default in further detail.



Inability to Deliver Physical Silver

Perhaps the most likely scenario of a Comex “default” would involve the inability to deliver physical silver into its futures contracts due to a pronounced and protracted physical metal shortage.

In this case, those holding paper certificates instead of actual physical silver will probably be settled at the cash value of their position once the physical delivery problem finally comes to a head.

At this point, trading in silver futures on the Comex will probably also be halted temporarily while the market figures out the real price of physical silver.

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MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

Physical silver is a long-term safe haven

It is not a secret that silver is much better long-term investment than gold. This is attributed to the more diversified use of the white metal, its current low price and optimistic future prognosis. Investing in silver futures for the short term has certain risks which could be positive or negative – almost like gambling. If you are a safe-player investor type, than consider the physical silver investment opportunities. Bearing in mind that the long-term takes an extend of more than five years, placing cash assets into physical silver is a step which is positively proven by several factors and has almost no risk. In September 2011, the metal’s price soared to $50 and analysts still speculate with that data. The significant here is that this bullish market then, was not a tendency, but a single day phenomenon and it affected only the contracts for future delivery. On the physical silver market the traders were purchasing silver at about $35 per ounce while selling the commodity at $50 per ounce. It is important to stay calm and think in perspective, because one-day events are called incidents and they mean nothing to the long term period where the physical silver rules. Firm evidence can be found in stable market factors that benefit the silver bullion prices trough the future periods. A growing need of the global industry will always support the physical silver price as securities cannot be used for water purification, solar-power generation, coin emissions, specialized medicine and other important sectors.
- Source Dubai Chronicle - http://www.dubaichronicle.com
MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

More Signs of Silver Bullion Shortage

“This is the definition of a silver shortage – nothing to do with the physical amount of the substance being in deficit, but people’s psychological intention not to sell. The extent to which a shortage is developing is witnessed by the extent of backwardation.”
That’s what Ned-Naylor Neyland wrote in a recent commentary (thanks to GATA for bringing it to our attention). He is the Investment Director at Cheviot Asset Management, one of the UK’s largest independently owned investment firms. His commentary was triggered by the decision of the London Bullion Markets Association (LBMA) to cut the reporting on the Silver Forward Rate on the 2nd of November, playing it down as “only indicative rates and therefore not dealable rates between forward Market Makers.”
Clearly, Ned-Naylor Neyland holds another opinion. He is monitoring the Silver Basis & Co-Basis (by Sandeep Jaitly) and it showed a huge anomaly more or less at the same moment of the LBMA’s decision. That kind of behaviour points to strong backwardation, a signal of silver shortage (based on the earlier mentioned definition).   - via http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article37865.html


MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

More Signs of Silver Bullion Shortage

By: GoldSilverWorlds Commodities “This is the definition of a silver shortage – nothing to do with the physical amount of the substance being in deficit, but people’s psychological intention not to sell. The extent to which a shortage is developing is witnessed by the extent of backwardation.” That’s what Ned-Naylor Neyland wrote in a recent commentary (thanks to GATA for bringing it to our attention). He is the Investment Director at Cheviot Asset Management, one of the UK’s largest independently owned investment firms. His commentary was triggered by the decision of the London Bullion Markets Association (LBMA) to cut the reporting on the Silver Forward Rate on the 2nd of November, playing it down as “only indicative rates and therefore not dealable rates between forward Market Makers.” Clearly, Ned-Naylor Neyland holds another opinion. He is monitoring the Silver Basis & Co-Basis (by Sandeep Jaitly) and it showed a huge anomaly more or less at the same moment of the LBMA’s decision. That kind of behaviour points to strong backwardation, a signal of silver shortage (based on the earlier mentioned definition).
Source : http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article37865.html >>> 

MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

BREAKING - Silver Shortage - US Mint runs out of

I have been watching the price of silver and gold, they just knocked down gold and silver and amazon have been banned from selling silver, strange and the prices are dropping, should stock pile

MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

Silver Shortage ~ Officially Sold Out

It is a certainty that eventually the dollar will be worth next to zero the price of spot silver is a fraction reserve value and does not correlate to the true value with respect to the dollar, if everybody in the United States went out and bought one ounce of silver it would tend towards its true value it would be like everybody withdrawing their money from the banks the dollar would tend towards its true value

MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

Silver Investing, Silver Shortage, Investing Strategy,

The London Metal Exchange (LME) is the futures exchange with the world's largest market in options, and futures contracts on base and other metals. As the LME offers contracts with daily expiry dates...

MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet