Silver and Gold – a New Divergence?

Silver demand continues to grow as gold seems to have lost its luster. Read about market machinations and learn the facts.



Silver has been resilient, though the price of the metal has not. What do I mean by that?

Since the collapse of precious metals prices started in May of this year we’ve seen valuations fall tremendously. Even greater has been the drop of demand for certain metals. Probably the most brutal attack on a metal that we can visualize is that of the gold ETF known as GLD.

The GLD has lost a staggering 31% of its holdings since the peak seen back in December 2012. By July, 29 2013 it had lost 13,638,000 of its 43,453,000 ounces, leaving 29,815,000 ounces of gold held in trust. During the same time period we saw the silver ETF, SLV, lose only about 3% of its holdings from the high of April 2011 when it was holding nearly 11,243 tons of silver in its vaults.

The coin market tells a different story with The US Mint selling silver Eagles at a brisk pace. At current levels, the year 2013 looks to be a banner year. If the US mint continues at this pace it will have increased sales by 50% year-over-year. Oddly enough, the 1 ounce gold US Eagle is also selling well. It is on pace to sell almost 48% more than the great year they had in 2011. This, I believe, is a very telling sentiment of the coin-consuming public.
http://www.silverseek.com/article/silver-and-gold-%E2%80%93-new-divergence-12365


MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

Palladium shortages spur bullish wagers

August 6 2013 at 11:17am

---

Reuters.

Sheets of palladiums are pictured at a jewellery factory.

New York - At a time when gold and silver are tumbling the most in three decades, hedge funds are holding a near-record bullish bet on palladium as forecasters from Morgan Stanley to Credit Suisse Group AG predict years of shortages.

Demand will exceed output by 1.33 million ounces in 2013, more than North America produces in a year, Morgan Stanley says.

Credit Suisse anticipates deficits through at least 2016, and researcher CPM Group says mines won’t catch up for a decade.

Prices will average $800 an ounce in the first quarter, 9.9 percent more than now, and $850 in 2015, the median of as many as 12 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg show.

Speculators raised bets on higher prices eightfold in the past year and are holding a near-record amount in funds.

 http://www.iol.co.za/business/markets/commodities/palladium-shortages-spur-bullish-wagers-1.1558239#.UgKK8zeyIs4












MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

It Could Be A Long, Not-So-Hot August For Gold

Precious Metals Weekly Market Wrap
It was a week of high volatility for gold and silver as prices were influenced by a series of key U.S. economic data and the conclusion of a Federal Reserve policy meeting where nothing new was offered on a September "tapering" of the central bank's $85 billion per month money printing effort.
Precious metals were little changed up until Thursday when the combination of a very strong U.S. manufacturing report and a new recovery low for jobless claims sent the trade-weighted dollar sharply higher and metal prices lower (recall that the two often move opposite each other). Traders concluded that these reports made it more likely the Fed would curtail its bond buying program next month, but Friday's relatively weak labor report saw gold and silver prices end on a positive note, albeit not positive enough to offset earlier losses.

Gold and silver ETFs saw more outflows, demand for precious metals remained strong in China, the Indian government continued its campaign to curb gold demand in order to narrow its trade deficit, and the subject of gold market backwardation was again in the news.
For the week, the gold price fell 1.5 percent, from $1,333.80 an ounce to $1,313.50, and silver dropped ten cents, from $19.99 an ounce to $19.89. The gold price is now down 21.6 percent so far this year, some 31.7 percent below its record high of over $1,920 an ounce almost two years ago, and silver has fallen 34.5 percent in 2013, almost 60 percent below its all-time high near $50 an ounce in early-2011.

 http://seekingalpha.com/article/1602752-it-could-be-a-long-not-so-hot-august-for-gold?source=google_news



MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

Silver – A Change In Behavior. Enough For A Bottom?

By Michael Noonan

One of the largest issues many have with technical analysis is linking an understanding of their fundamental "beliefs" with prices on a chart.  By fundamental, we include simply the knowledge of any number of known factors, shortages, record buying of coins, people generally positive about the "news," as a few simple examples.  There is a need for a hand-to-eye type of association between existing fundamental "beliefs" and current prices.

Beliefs are formed opinions about reality, but not necessarily reality itself.  Change the belief, and you change the reality.  The current wide-spread belief is that there is a huge shortage in silver, relative to the demand.  From that belief an expectation of higher prices arises.  The reality is, for whatever reason, price has declined to levels that have surprised almost all who follow the silver market, and gold, as well.
Technical analysis is a measure different from fundamental analysis.  We will depart even more by qualifying our approach as a specialized subset of technical analysis.  How so? We read price and volume behavior, over time, in the form of developing market activity. It is what one sees on a chart, price ranges, close locations, volume, time factor[s], but no more.
http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1375106400.php

MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

How to beat a GOLD SHORTAGE

Gold is sold out! Or so you might think if you miss the true nature of coin supply...
By Miguel Perez-Santalla


Over the last few years, during the great investment demand for gold and silver, we have seen sporadic shortages in bullion coins.
Many people have written about these shortages as a harbinger of things to come in precious metals more widely. One of the fads is to decry supply issues in silver and now recently gold. However, the truth of the matter is less dramatic, if not quite so simple.
In most cases, supply issues with silver or gold coins are caused by abnormal or let's say surprising increases in demand from bullion coin buyers. Simply put, coins don't come out of thin air. They need to be manufactured. This all takes time and money. No one wants to tie up their money in a product that is not going to sell. That exposes gold and silver buyers to "just in time" inventory gaps if it's coins they want to buy.
http://www.resourceinvestor.com/2013/07/15/how-to-beat-a-gold-shortage

MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

The Coming Shortage Of Gold and Silver That Will Send Prices Soaring

Is the paper gold scam about to be brutally crushed by a crippling shortage of physical gold?  If so, what will that do to global financial markets?  According to the Reserve Bank of India, “the traded amount of ‘paper linked to gold’ exceeds by far the actual supply of physical gold: the volume on the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) OTC market and the major Futures and Options Exchanges was OVER 92 TIMES that of the underlying Physical Market.”  In other words, there is a massive amount of paper out there, but very little actual physical gold to back it up.  And right now, we are witnessing voracious hoarding of physical gold all over the globe.  This is especially true in Asia.  Just see this article and this article.  All of this hoarding is putting a tremendous amount of pressure on those that have made all of these “paper promises”, because the truth is that there really isn’t all that much physical gold on the planet.  In fact, Warren Buffett once estimated that if all of the gold in the entire world was brought into one place, it could be formed into a cube that would only be 69 feet long by 69 feet high by 69 feet wide.

As the emerging shortage of physical gold becomes increasingly apparent, the massive Ponzi scheme that the bullion banks have been running for decades is going to completely fall apart.  The following is what Egon von Greyerz told King World News the other day…
http://etfdailynews.com/2013/07/29/the-coming-shortage-of-gold-and-silver-that-will-send-prices-soaring/

MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

Why Is Silver Manipulation So Absurd?

Adam English | Wednesday, July 24th

Every time someone in America buys electronics or a car — or even cracks open a can of beer — Goldman Sachs gets paid.
A breaking story from the New York Times has all the details...
Three years ago, this too-big-to-fail bank capitalized on special rules created by the Federal Reserve and authorized by Congress by buying an obscure company called Metro International Trade Services. It is one of the largest warehousing companies for aluminum in the country.
Since then, it has manipulated the system to pull in massive profits.
In spite of tepid demand for aluminum worldwide after the Great Recession, the amount of time required for aluminum delivery has increased 20-fold — from six weeks to 16 months — since the company was purchased. This could be explained by shortages or logistical issues, if any existed. The company is actively making the process inefficient.
Since 2008, the stockpile of aluminum grew from 50,000 tons in 2008 to a massive 1.5 million tons today. Industry rules require at least 3,000 tons be moved out of warehouses each day.
However, instead of delivering the metal to buyers, Goldman is just shuffling the metal between warehouses to skirt the intent of the rules.
The warehouses collect rent for each day the metal is stored. Storage costs are a primary factor for the premium added to the price difference between the spot market and the actual price charged for delivery.
Estimates show this premium has doubled since Goldman's acquisition. For every ton delivered, an extra $114 is charged. With how much aluminum is used in everything from soda cans to automobiles, estimates put the extra cost to American consumers at $5 billion over three years.
This business has been so lucrative that Goldman plans to expand the operations. It recently filed documents with the SEC outlining its plan to store copper in the same warehouses.
No Exception to the Rule
The list of manipulations by mega banks touches every corner of finance.
Virtually every commodity has been hit by massive positions that influence prices for illicit gains...
LIBOR and delaying interest rate information amounted to $880 trillion in manipulation alone, and affected every mortgage and loan worldwide. And JPMorgan is all over the news, turning money-losing power plants into profit centers by manipulating the market and being paid for not firing up the plants.
But bring up any of these topics, and you'll hear the same cynical responses. Mention silver manipulation, and it will be dismissed as fringe conspiracy theory.
In an age where everything is being manipulated, it defies belief that somehow silver prices aren't being abused for illicit gains. It requires willful ignorance. The fact is, there is plenty of evidence staring everyone right in the face.
Let's just have a look at JPMorgan...

JPMorgan's Silver Cash Grab
JPMorgan inherited a massive amount of silver shorts priced between $20 and $21 when it took over Bear Stearns. Combined with HSBC, the two mega banks covered 85% of all silver shorts.
That right there is a solid case for manipulation — because the short position was so massive compared to physical silver trading and long positions. What's worse, the U.S. Treasury created the situation.
If the free market resolved the situation, silver would have more than doubled as the short position was covered and evaporated.
The massive position was maintained for years because it wasn't easy to wind down. Any large-scale attempts to unwind the position would be countered by other big traders and result in a loss. JPMorgan didn't have to, though; it simply needed to rig the system to turn a buck.
A precious metal trader named Andrew Maguire sent detailed information in an email to the CFTC on Feb. 3, 2010, about what to expect in two days after he noticed signals from JPMorgan and HSBC traders using after-hours high-frequency trades to crush prices.
His description was perfectly accurate. The trader, selling four hundred contracts per second, dumped 45,000 contracts into the market. Each was for 5,000 troy ounces for a grand total of 7,000 tonnes. The seller then suddenly shifted and started purchasing everything he could. Still moving far faster than other traders, he or she walked with $3.6 billion.
In more recent history, JPMorgan has been holding about 25% of the silver short market with the largest eight commercial silver shorts account for 50% to 60%. Estimates put paper silver positions at 143 times the actual amount of physical silver traded.
Massive volumes of sell orders are placed and canceled in fractions of a second by them. The lower sell prices still appear in market data for anyone that cannot handle trading by the millisecond, leading to panic selling by other (much slower) traders.
The high-frequency trading system then snaps up the positions for profit. After all, they never sold anything to begin with... they simply maintained short positions and canceled sales to buy at discounts.
read more : >>>> http://www.silverseek.com/article/why-silver-manipulation-so-absurd-12327


MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

Bullion Shortage in India

Gold imports by India, the world’s biggest user last year, may plunge after the central bank linked inbound shipments to exports to cut a record current-account deficit and stem a decline in the currency.

Overseas purchases may tumble 63 percent to 175 metric tons in the six months through December from a year earlier, said Bachhraj Bamalwa, a director at the All India Gems & Jewellery Trade Federation. The Reserve Bank of India announced new rules late yesterday, making it mandatory for importers to set aside 20 percent for re-exports as jewelry.
The curbs may cause a shortage of bullion in the domestic market as the country’s average annual exports of gold jewelry are about 70 tons, Bamalwa said. Consumption in India, which imports almost all the bullion it uses, was 864.2 tons last year, according to data from the World Gold Council.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-07-23/gold-imports-by-india-may-slump-as-purchases-linked-to-exports.html


MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

Gold & Silver Shortages ~ Asian Dealers Fear Summer Shortage

Gold Jump Pulls Miners Higher as Asian Dealers Fear Summer Shortage

London Gold Market Report

From Adrian Ash

The WHOLESALE price of gold leapt in thin Asian trade Monday morning, jumping 1.7% inside half-a-minute and then extending its run in London to new 1-month highs at $1322 per ounce.

London-listed gold equities followed, with shares in Randgold Resources – tipped today by analysts at both J.P. Morgan and Morgan Stanley as better able to cut costs and avoid write-downs than competitors – rose 2.5%.

So too however did shares in African Barrick Gold – named by Morgan Stanley as a gold miner facing "heightened risks [with] limited scope to raise returns."

Russian gold miner Petropavlovsk, which by end-May had sold forward 70% of its 2013 output to hedge the falling gold price, meantime rose over 4.3% on the London stock market, taking its rally of the last two weeks above 40%.

Shares in the former million-ounce miner remained 75% below the start of 2013, however.

Randgold Resources was trading today 25% down for the year so far.

"Gold broke through a key technical level at $1300," said one Singapore trader to Reuters this morning.

The first breach of this "psychologically important" level since end-June, however, gold "is still a good $230 off the technically important 200-day moving average," says the daily note from Germany's Commerzbank.
http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1374499548.php


MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

Gold, Silver gain on fresh Demand

Gold surged to Rs 27,300 per ten grams, silver appreciated to Rs 40,730 per kg

Both the precious metals, gold and silver gained in the national capital on Friday on fresh buying by stockists amid a firm global trend.

While gold surged by Rs 275 to Rs 27,300 per ten grams, silver gained Rs 295 to Rs 40,730 per kg on increased offtake by jewellers and industrial units.

Sentiments bolstered after gold surged to a three-week high in global markets, as Federal Reserve Chairman’s comments that stimulus may be maintained spurred demand for the metal.

Gold in London, which normally sets the price trend on the domestic front, appreciated 0.3 per cent to USD 1,287.69 an ounce.

On the domestic front, gold of 99.9 and 99.5 per cent purity zoomed up by Rs 275 each to Rs 27,300 and Rs 27,100 per ten grams, respectively.

 http://www.thehindu.com/business/markets/gold-silver-gain-on-fresh-demand/article4931651.ece


MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

Gold and Silver Miners Rolling Over Again

 The bullish case for silver is easy enough to make. It also makes sense that if the price per ounce eventually takes off, then the miners would do well.
Nevertheless, the problems that silver miners face are multifaceted and will be discussed further in the following sections.

Inflation

The next trigger that catapults silver prices higher will likely be associated with a notable rise in inflation that may already be in process. The Producer Price Index (PPI) was up last month significantly for the first time in a while and crude oil is again testing the psychological $100 level.
Still, inflation is a double edged sword for the miners since rising energy costs will be a huge drag on net earnings for these companies. This is especially true for the penny stock miners who are still in the exploration stage and will require revisionary financing going forward.

Tough Times for Miners

The entire mining sector has been miserable and positive sentiment is getting pretty close to zero. This might indicate a bottom is near, but the damage to the sector has been done.
The industry also suffers from a shortage of experienced geologists, and financing for these mining projects is hard to come by as a rule.
Furthermore, most silver comes from byproduct mining because primary mines simply could not stay in business for the lean decades leading up to the most recent bull market in silver.

MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

Gold Backwardation Seen by SocGen Prompting ‘Corrective Rally’

Gold’s biggest backwardation since 1999 prompted a “corrective rally” and negative investor sentiment means the outlook is still bearish, according to Societe Generale SA.

Physical gold demand is strong and “nearby tightness” will persist for the “foreseeable future,” Robin Bhar, a London-based metals analyst, said in a report e-mailed today. Gold will average $1,150 an ounce in 2014, according to the bank, which predicted the rout in April when prices entered a bear market, having fallen 20 percent from the high last year.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-07-17/gold-backwardation-seen-by-socgen-prompting-corrective-rally-.html

MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

How to beat a GOLD SHORTAGE

Gold is sold out! Or so you might think if you miss the true nature of coin supply...

By Miguel Perez-Santalla


Over the last few years, during the great investment demand for gold and silver, we have seen sporadic shortages in bullion coins.
Many people have written about these shortages as a harbinger of things to come in precious metals more widely. One of the fads is to decry supply issues in silver and now recently gold. However, the truth of the matter is less dramatic, if not quite so simple.
In most cases, supply issues with silver or gold coins are caused by abnormal or let's say surprising increases in demand from bullion coin buyers. Simply put, coins don't come out of thin air. They need to be manufactured. This all takes time and money. No one wants to tie up their money in a product that is not going to sell. That exposes gold and silver buyers to "just in time" inventory gaps if it's coins they want to buy.

SILVER & GOLD SHORTAGE

Imagine you are selling a low-cost product with a high margin. It is much more likely that you will have enough inventories for almost all eventualities. Look at a typical retail product – how about lip balm? I don't really know the costs but I can guess. Some of the more premium brands sell individually for $10 each and more, but many quality brands sell for $1.00 or so.

http://www.resourceinvestor.com/2013/07/15/how-to-beat-a-gold-shortage?t=precious-metals

MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet

Gold Coins Shortage: Does It Mean Tight Supply?

Friday, 7/12/2013 18:19

Yes, if it's gold coins you're after. But not if it's gold bullion in other forms...

 

OVER the last few years, during the great investment demand for precious metals, we have seen sporadic shortages in silver and gold coins, writes Miguel Perez-Santalla at BullionVault.

 

Many people have written about these shortages as a harbinger of things to come in precious metals more widely. One of the fads is to decry supply issues in silver and now recently gold.

However, the truth of the matter is less dramatic, if not quite so simple.

 

In most cases, supply issues with silver or gold coins are caused by abnormal or let's say surprising increases in demand from bullion coin buyers. Simply put, coins don't come out of thin air. They need to be manufactured. This all takes time and money. No one wants to tie up their money in a product that is not going to sell. That exposes gold and silver buyers to "just in time" inventory gaps if it's coins they want to buy.

 

Imagine you are selling a low-cost product with a high margin. It is much more likely that you will have enough inventories for almost all eventualities. Look at a typical retail product – how about lip balm? I don't really know the costs but I can guess. Some of the more premium brands sell individually for $10 each and more, but many quality brands sell for $1.00 or so.

 

I have never seen a retailer that sells this product run out. Though it is possible, most likely that chance is very remote because I believe their profit margin is probably around 100% or more. This typically is called the Keystone markup. My guess is that the retailer pays lower than $.50 for each one of these $1.00 lip balms. So their profit of 50 cents or more covers any carrying charges that may be represented from holding the inventory.

Read more : http://goldnews.bullionvault.com/gold-coins-shortage-071220132

MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet